Tuesday, April 29, 2008

How fast will the SHTF?

At noon, The President announced on television that the US was finally broke! No more money! So everything was going stop functioning immediately! Germany, Japan and China demanded that our promissory notes be payed on the spot in gold! When the Welfare payments stopped that day, naturally there were riots in every major city! We quickly bugged out that afternoon to get out of town. There were fires and riots everywhere. It seemed like every jail and prison had been emptied after the President's speech. Police and the National Guard quickly abandoned their posts to protect their families! Gangs took the streets and began looting and killing. The suburbs were in flames in minutes! Twice gang bangers tried to stop our truck which forced us to start shooting! By the time we got out of town that evening, it was almost too late!

How many survival, post apocalypse fiction stories go like this? It is almost as if the writer can't wait to get to the good part of their story - ( the scene which finds the hero telling off the FEMA representative standing at the door to his retreat!).

With survival minded folk like us, we have real world information to guide us in SHTF scenarios. For instance, take a look at Somalia or New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina. Both examples, though extreme opposites, can give us a glimpse into what happens when the poop hits the fan.

Take New Orleans for instance. We have a singular event (hurricane) which caused a larger event (flooding which broke the levies which led to more flooding) which changed a city overnight. Within the following day, all heck broke loose and all matter of horrors took place in a very short amount of time.

Now consider Somalia. After a series of bad governments, internal armed strife and conflict with neighbors, an entire country was plunged into chaos. Even with massive foreign aid and international intervention, the situation in Somalia became so large and daunting, most foreign help has pulled out of the country entirely. Today, Somalia is almost entirely run by gangs and local warlords and has no functioning form of central government.

In most large-scale SHTF situations, (the whole world or country affected), I think we will have a gradual slide rather than a massive shift in the way we conduct our daily lives. The only exceptions I put to this are in the event of a wide scale military attack or a natural event such as an asteroid hitting earth, polar shift or massive unexpected seismic event.

So I see a SHTF scenario going more like Somalia rather than New Orleans..
- Months of economic and financial upheaval.
- Chronic shortages of daily necessities like food, fuel, electricity and water.
- Increase in violent crime, riots, looting and public insurrections.
- Curfews, martial law and personal freedoms curtailed.
- War breaking out because of the nation's weakened state or intentionally to drive the national attention away from our internal problems.

Eventually, the current system of government breaks down. First in some key places then more and more across the country. Some cities and towns will continue to operate as best as possible with limited resources and outside contact.

All in all, unless there is a large event, such as a massive military attack, the process will take months if not years. People truly into preparedness will see the value of preparing at first for an inconvenient world, followed by a rapidly disintegrating and dangerous world.

That means stockpiling food, fuel, medical supplies and the ability to hide them and protect them.

That means thinking long term, as years, not 72 hours like we are told to prepare for.

That means having your food stores divided into three categories; short term (refrigerator/freezer, canned and packaged food), medium (flour, sugar, yeast, beans, rice) and long term (long term storage food, wheat, gardening and small scale food production).

That means water supplies, the ability to store and procure more.

That means fuel for transportation and long term transportation like bicycles, horses, wagons, even good physical health for walking!

That means the ability to produce some power through the use of wind and sun.

That means the ability to defend oneself and family and to surround your community with other like minded parties.

Than means being prepared to leave home and striking out for greener pastures elsewhere.

How fast will the SHTF? I don't know. But it is prudent to expect the results to last for a very long time afterwards.

1 comment:

blockwarden said...

You seem to forget that the US Gov has already declared the equivalent of being bankrupt once.

No riots, no mayhem.. Just a good couple of weeks that all Gov servants took off to enjoy the rest.

The TS did not HTF then, I am not sure that it will if it were to happen now. History repeats itself.

Tag and Bookmark

Disclaimer - This blog from time to time reviews products on this blog. Some, but not all, of the products reviewed are affiliate market products and do provide compensation to the blog operator. This blog does receive revenue from advertising on this blog and from the sale of products highlighted on the outside columns and frame of this blog.
This blog is for informational and entertainment purposes only. For legal, medical, financial or any other professional advice, consult with a licensed professional.
We use third-party advertising companies to serve ads when you visit our website. These companies may use information (not including your name, address, email address, or telephone number) about your visits to this and other websites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services of interest to you. If you would like more information about this practice and to know your choices about not having this information used by these companies, click here.

Copyright - all content property of survivalism.blogspot.com 2005 -2011 all rights reserved. Content scrapers and copyright violators will be prosecuted.
storable food, dehydrated food, fod, dry food, food storage, food insurance, freeze dried food, survival food, food sale prices, food sale, bulk food, collapse food, food shortage, survival seeds, non hybrid, non-hybrid, emergency food, dehydrated vegetables, dehydrated mixes, dried produce, spices, whole food, mountain house food, mountain house freeze dried food, alpine aire, alpine aire freeze dried food, alpine air, mountainhouse, richmoor, survival food storage, bird flu, emergency survival, emergency preparation, dehydrated storable food, emergency preparedness, long term food storage, long term water storage, long term storable food, camping food, emergency food storage, food reserves, long term food reserves, storage, long term, long-term, dehydrated, gourmet reserves, long shelf life, no cooking required, food storage systems, non perishable food, non-perishable, no cooking food, non cook food, non-cook food, no cook food, basic needs, basic food storage, dry, dry storable, storage, preparedness, personal preparedness, food supply, supplies, seeds, sprouts, food supplier, survival review, collapse food storage, world food shortage, american food shortage


Tripbase Travel Reviews